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ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mustapha El Natour

Other · June 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Pablo Martinez Gomez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.05	95.0%	$0.95	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.03	97.0%	$0.97	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.95

Odds

1.05

Implied

95.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.97

Odds

1.03

Implied

97.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pablo Martinez Gomez

Best: 97.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

95.0%

97.0%

Mustapha El Natour

Best: 5.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

5.0%

3.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pablo Martinez Gomez

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.950

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.984 avg

+0.60% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.978

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.990

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.988 avg

+1.01% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.978

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $246

Mustapha El Natour (kalshi, $31) — slippage 536.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $8

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pablo Martinez Gomezthin	polymarket	1.05	$969	$1021
Mustapha El Natourthin	kalshi	33.33	$31	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pablo Martinez Gomez

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 97.0% vs polymarket at 95.0%

Expected Value

+2.11%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.05) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $52
24h Volume: $52
Liquidity: $487
Open Interest: $52

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $112
24h Volume: $112
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $99

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 18, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 25, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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