TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 52s ago

ITF Martos: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Joao Domingues

Other · June 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.06	48.5%	$0.49	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

48.5%

Joao Domingues

Best: 52.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

52.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.485

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.533 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.533

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.711 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.711

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $424

Joao Domingues (polymarket, $510) — slippage 4.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Rafael Izquierdo Luquethin	kalshi	2.06	$490	$1010
Joao Dominguesthin	polymarket	1.98	$510	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 49.5% vs kalshi at 48.5%

Expected Value

+2.06%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.06) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $4.1K
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $10
24h Volume: $20
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $10

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 20, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 27, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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