TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 17s ago

ITF Merzig: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Leonie Schuknecht

Other · June 10, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Sonja Zhenikhova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.54	65.0%	$0.65	+20.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.65

Odds

1.54

Implied

65.0%

Edge

+20.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Sonja Zhenikhova

Best: 65.0% on kalshi

▲+20.5%

Prediction market is 20.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

65.0%

Leonie Schuknecht

Best: 55.5% on polymarket

▲+19.5%

Prediction market is 19.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

36.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Sonja Zhenikhova

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.445

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.920 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.920

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.944 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.944

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+24.22%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Sonja Zhenikhova (polymarket, $553) — not enough depth at $553 — fillable up to $19

Leonie Schuknecht (kalshi, $447) — slippage 24.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $235

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Sonja Zhenikhovathin	polymarket	2.25	$553	$1242
Leonie Schuknechtthin	kalshi	2.78	$447	$1242

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Sonja Zhenikhova

Spread

20.5pp

kalshi at 65.0% vs polymarket at 44.5%

Expected Value

+46.07%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.25) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $439
24h Volume: $439
Liquidity: $95
Open Interest: $405

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $626
24h Volume: $398
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $626

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jun 17, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jun 24, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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