TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 29s ago

ITF Messina: Leonardo Primucci vs Maxence Rivet

Other · June 10, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Leonardo Primucci

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.47	68.0%	$0.68	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.46	68.5%	$0.69	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.68

Odds

1.47

Implied

68.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.69

Odds

1.46

Implied

68.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Leonardo Primucci

Best: 68.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

68.5%

68.0%

Maxence Rivet

Best: 32.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

31.5%

32.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Leonardo Primucci

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.680

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.812 avg

+13.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.714

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.832

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.905 avg

+26.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.714

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Leonardo Primucci (kalshi, $683) — slippage 13.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $231

Maxence Rivet (polymarket, $317) — slippage 71.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Leonardo Primuccithin	kalshi	1.47	$683	$1005
Maxence Rivetthin	polymarket	3.17	$317	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Leonardo Primucci

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 68.5% vs kalshi at 68.0%

Expected Value

+0.74%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.47) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $364
24h Volume: $364
Liquidity: $1.4K
Open Interest: $364

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jun 17, 2026, 1:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 24, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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