TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 22s ago

ITF Milano: Gian Marco Ortenzi vs Georgii Kravchenko

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Gian Marco Ortenzi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	8.00	12.5%	$0.13	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	6.90	14.5%	$0.14	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.13

Odds

8.00

Implied

12.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.14

Odds

6.90

Implied

14.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Gian Marco Ortenzi

Best: 14.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

14.5%

12.5%

Georgii Kravchenko

Best: 87.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

85.5%

87.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Gian Marco Ortenzi

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.125

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.532 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.532

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.776 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.776

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $684

Gian Marco Ortenzi (kalshi, $128) — slippage 125.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $87

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Gian Marco Ortenzithin	kalshi	8.00	$128	$1021
Georgii Kravchenkothin	polymarket	1.17	$872	$1021

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Gian Marco Ortenzi

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 14.5% vs kalshi at 12.5%

Expected Value

+16.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (8.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $21
24h Volume: $21
Liquidity: $1.2K
Open Interest: $21

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 24, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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