TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 15s ago

ITF Mogyorod: Paula Cembranos vs Salma Drugdova

Other · July 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Paula Cembranos

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.68	59.5%	$0.60	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.60

Odds

1.68

Implied

59.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Paula Cembranos

Best: 60.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.0%

59.5%

Salma Drugdova

Best: 40.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

38.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Paula Cembranos

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.595

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.679 avg

+9.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.618

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.691

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.804 avg

+30.01% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.618

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $255

Salma Drugdova (kalshi, $393) — slippage 15.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $100

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Paula Cembranosthin	kalshi	1.68	$607	$1021
Salma Drugdovathin	kalshi	2.60	$393	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Paula Cembranos

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 60.0% vs kalshi at 59.5%

Expected Value

+0.84%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.68) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $2.7K
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $37
24h Volume: $37
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $37

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 9, 2026, 7:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 16, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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