TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Monastir: Lucia Llinares Domingo vs Aya El Sayed

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lucia Llinares Domingo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.13	32.0%	$0.32	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.08	32.5%	$0.33	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.32

Odds

3.13

Implied

32.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.33

Odds

3.08

Implied

32.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lucia Llinares Domingo

Best: 32.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.5%

32.0%

Aya El Sayed

Best: 67.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.5%

65.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lucia Llinares Domingo

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.320

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.621 avg

+28.62% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.483

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.649

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.860 avg

+78.11% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.483

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $570

Lucia Llinares Domingo (kalshi, $330) — slippage 32.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $188

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lucia Llinares Domingothin	kalshi	3.13	$330	$1031
Aya El Sayedthin	kalshi	1.54	$670	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lucia Llinares Domingo

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 32.5% vs kalshi at 32.0%

Expected Value

+1.56%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.13) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 15, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 22, 2026, 10:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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