TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Monastir: Tuncay Duran vs Aziz Dougaz

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Tuncay Duran

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.51	28.5%	$0.28	+1.0pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.64	27.5%	$0.28	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.28

Odds

3.51

Implied

28.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.28

Odds

3.64

Implied

27.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tuncay Duran

Best: 28.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

28.5%

27.5%

Aziz Dougaz

Best: 72.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.5%

72.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tuncay Duran

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.275

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.452 avg

+39.51% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.324

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.478

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.720 avg

+121.99% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.324

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $386

Tuncay Duran (kalshi, $278) — slippage 3.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tuncay Duranthin	kalshi	3.64	$278	$1010
Aziz Dougazthin	polymarket	1.40	$722	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tuncay Duran

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 28.5% vs kalshi at 27.5%

Expected Value

+3.64%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.64) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $8.1K
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 19, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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