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ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Carles Cordoba vs Alejandro Juan Mano

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Carles Cordoba

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.13	47.0%	$0.47	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.47

Odds

2.13

Implied

47.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carles Cordoba

Best: 47.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

47.0%

Alejandro Juan Mano

Best: 54.5% on polymarket

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

49.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carles Cordoba

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.455

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.729 avg

+15.12% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.633

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.748

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.916 avg

+44.65% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.633

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.26%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $253

Carles Cordoba (polymarket, $479) — slippage 32.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $121

Alejandro Juan Mano (kalshi, $521) — slippage 3.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carles Cordobathin	polymarket	2.20	$479	$1053
Alejandro Juan Manothin	kalshi	2.02	$521	$1053

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carles Cordoba

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 47.0% vs polymarket at 45.5%

Expected Value

+3.30%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.20) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.5K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 13d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jun 24, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 13d 22h · Jul 1, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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