TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Joaquin Guilleme vs Pietro Marino

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Joaquin Guilleme

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.71	58.5%	$0.59	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.69	59.0%	$0.59	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.59

Odds

1.71

Implied

58.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.59

Odds

1.69

Implied

59.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Joaquin Guilleme

Best: 59.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

58.5%

59.0%

Pietro Marino

Best: 41.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

41.5%

40.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Joaquin Guilleme

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.585

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.701 avg

+13.89% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.615

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.718

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.812 avg

+31.95% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.615

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $555

Joaquin Guilleme (polymarket, $591) — slippage 2.5% — eats into edge

Pietro Marino (kalshi, $409) — slippage 4.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Joaquin Guillemethin	polymarket	1.71	$591	$1010
Pietro Marinothin	kalshi	2.47	$409	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Joaquin Guilleme

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 59.0% vs polymarket at 58.5%

Expected Value

+0.85%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.71) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jun 24, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 1, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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