TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 37s ago

ITF Nivelles: Adan Freire Da Silva vs Emilien Demanet

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Adan Freire Da Silva

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.90	14.5%	$0.15	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.41	18.5%	$0.19	+4.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.15

Odds

6.90

Implied

14.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.19

Odds

5.41

Implied

18.5%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Adan Freire Da Silva

Best: 18.5% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

18.5%

14.5%

Emilien Demanet

Best: 85.5% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

81.5%

85.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Adan Freire Da Silva

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.145

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.422 avg

+5.43% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.401

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.531

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.752 avg

+41.51% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.531

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.17%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $426

Adan Freire Da Silva (kalshi, $151) — slippage 19.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $64

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Adan Freire Da Silvathin	kalshi	6.90	$151	$1041
Emilien Demanetthin	polymarket	1.23	$849	$1042

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Adan Freire Da Silva

Spread

4.0pp

polymarket at 18.5% vs kalshi at 14.5%

Expected Value

+27.59%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.90) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $24
24h Volume: $24
Liquidity: $1.7K
Open Interest: $24

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $13
24h Volume: $13
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jul 8, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jul 15, 2026, 10:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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