TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 12s ago

ITF Nivelles: Kirill Kivattsev vs Jelle Sels

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Kirill Kivattsev

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.92	52.0%	$0.52	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.89	53.0%	$0.53	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.52

Odds

1.92

Implied

52.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.53

Odds

1.89

Implied

53.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kirill Kivattsev

Best: 53.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.0%

52.0%

Jelle Sels

Best: 48.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.0%

48.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kirill Kivattsev

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.520

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.565 avg

+3.34% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.547

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.569

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.735 avg

+34.38% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.547

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kirill Kivattsev (kalshi, $525) — slippage 2.6% — eats into edge

Jelle Sels (polymarket, $475) — slippage 23.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $24

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kirill Kivattsevthin	kalshi	1.92	$525	$1010
Jelle Selsthin	polymarket	2.13	$475	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kirill Kivattsev

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 53.0% vs kalshi at 52.0%

Expected Value

+1.92%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.92) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $33
24h Volume: $33
Liquidity: $4.5K
Open Interest: $33

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $33
24h Volume: $33
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $33

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 8, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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