TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 32s ago

ITF Nivelles: Niklas Schell vs Yannik Kelm

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000000000000

Platform Prices — Niklas Schell

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.25	16.0%	$0.16	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.13	19.5%	$0.20	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.16

Odds

6.25

Implied

16.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.20

Odds

5.13

Implied

19.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Niklas Schell

Best: 19.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.5%

16.0%

Yannik Kelm

Best: 85.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.5%

85.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Niklas Schell

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.160

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.656 avg

+55.64% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.421

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.890

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.640 avg

+8.46% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.590

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $506

Niklas Schell (kalshi, $166) — slippage 69.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $84

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Niklas Schellthin	kalshi	6.25	$166	$1036
Yannik Kelmthin	polymarket	1.24	$834	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Niklas Schell

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 19.5% vs kalshi at 16.0%

Expected Value

+21.88%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $458
24h Volume: $458
Liquidity: $2.4K
Open Interest: $458

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $31
24h Volume: $31
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $31

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 8, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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