TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Kim Chiarello vs Agustina Chlpac

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Kim Chiarello

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.27	44.0%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.27

Implied

44.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kim Chiarello

Best: 45.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.0%

44.0%

Agustina Chlpac

Best: 55.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.0%

54.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kim Chiarello

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.440

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.550 avg

+12.02% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.491

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.609

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.743 avg

+21.94% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.609

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $528

Kim Chiarello (kalshi, $447) — slippage 3.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kim Chiarellothin	kalshi	2.27	$447	$1015
Agustina Chlpacthin	kalshi	1.83	$553	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kim Chiarello

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 45.0% vs kalshi at 44.0%

Expected Value

+2.27%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $5.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 31, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 7, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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