TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 57s ago

ITF Nova Gorica: Tomas Lanik vs Nicolas Parizzia

Other · July 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Tomas Lanik

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.06	48.5%	$0.49	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.5%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tomas Lanik

Best: 48.5% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.5%

45.5%

Nicolas Parizzia

Best: 53.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.5%

53.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tomas Lanik

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.455

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.495 avg

+0.95% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.490

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.496

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.756 avg

+54.27% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.490

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tomas Lanik (kalshi, $469) — slippage 5.3% — eats into edge

Nicolas Parizzia (polymarket, $531) — slippage 6.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tomas Lanikthin	kalshi	2.20	$469	$1031
Nicolas Parizziathin	polymarket	1.94	$531	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tomas Lanik

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 48.5% vs kalshi at 45.5%

Expected Value

+6.59%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.20) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $9.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 23, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 30, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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