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ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Rudy Quan vs Noah Zamora

Other · July 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Rudy Quan

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.69	59.0%	$0.59	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.71	58.5%	$0.59	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.59

Odds

1.69

Implied

59.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.59

Odds

1.71

Implied

58.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Rudy Quan

Best: 59.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.0%

58.5%

Noah Zamora

Best: 41.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

41.0%

41.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Rudy Quan

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.585

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.676 avg

+9.22% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.619

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.687

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.802 avg

+29.64% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.619

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Rudy Quan (kalshi, $588) — slippage 2.7% — eats into edge

Noah Zamora (polymarket, $412) — not enough depth at $412 — fillable up to $21

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Rudy Quanthin	kalshi	1.71	$588	$1005
Noah Zamorathin	polymarket	2.44	$412	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Rudy Quan

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 59.0% vs kalshi at 58.5%

Expected Value

+0.85%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.71) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 16, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 23, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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