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ITF Rio Claro: Luiza Fullana vs Laura Badia

Other · July 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Luiza Fullana

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.09	92.0%	$0.92	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.08	92.5%	$0.93	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

92.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.93

Odds

1.08

Implied

92.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luiza Fullana

Best: 92.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

92.5%

92.0%

Laura Badia

Best: 8.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

7.5%

8.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luiza Fullana

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.920

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.938 avg

+0.22% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.936

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.940

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.939 avg

+0.36% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.936

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Laura Badia (polymarket, $75) — slippage 798.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $4

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luiza Fullanathin	kalshi	1.09	$925	$1005
Laura Badiathin	polymarket	13.33	$75	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Luiza Fullana

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 92.5% vs kalshi at 92.0%

Expected Value

+0.54%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.09) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $241
24h Volume: $241
Liquidity: $1.6K
Open Interest: $241

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.6K
24h Volume: $2.0K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2.2K

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 23, 2026, 2:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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