TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Hugo Car

Other · July 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Clement Lemire

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.90	34.5%	$0.35	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.63	38.0%	$0.38	+3.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.35

Odds

2.90

Implied

34.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.38

Odds

2.63

Implied

38.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Clement Lemire

Best: 38.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

34.5%

38.0%

Hugo Car

Best: 65.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.5%

64.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Clement Lemire

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.345

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.433 avg

+11.08% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.390

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.441

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.618 avg

+58.52% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.390

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Clement Lemire (polymarket, $350) — slippage 11.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $2

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Clement Lemirethin	polymarket	2.90	$350	$1016
Hugo Carthin	kalshi	1.56	$650	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Clement Lemire

Spread

3.5pp

kalshi at 38.0% vs polymarket at 34.5%

Expected Value

+10.14%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.90) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $14
24h Volume: $14
Liquidity: $7.7K
Open Interest: $14

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $21
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $21

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Aug 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 8, 2026, 2:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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