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ITF Saarlouis: Amaury Raynel vs Sydney Zick

Other · June 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Amaury Raynel

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.64	61.0%	$0.61	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.61

Odds

1.64

Implied

61.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Amaury Raynel

Best: 61.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

61.0%

Sydney Zick

Best: 39.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

38.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Amaury Raynel

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.605

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.689 avg

+11.19% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.620

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.703

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.817 avg

+31.72% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.620

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $394

Sydney Zick (kalshi, $386) — slippage 20.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $152

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Amaury Raynelthin	polymarket	1.65	$614	$1015
Sydney Zickthin	kalshi	2.63	$386	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Amaury Raynel

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 61.0% vs polymarket at 60.5%

Expected Value

+0.83%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.65) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $24
24h Volume: $24
Liquidity: $5.6K
Open Interest: $24

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 23, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 30, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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