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ITF Saarlouis: Johan Oscar Lien vs Calvin Mueller

Other · June 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Johan Oscar Lien

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Johan Oscar Lien

Best: 46.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

46.0%

Calvin Mueller

Best: 56.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.5%

54.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Johan Oscar Lien

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.435

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.645 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.645

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.792 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.792

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Johan Oscar Lien (polymarket, $446) — not enough depth at $446 — fillable up to $4

Calvin Mueller (kalshi, $554) — slippage 6.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Johan Oscar Lienthin	polymarket	2.30	$446	$1026
Calvin Muellerthin	kalshi	1.85	$554	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Johan Oscar Lien

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 46.0% vs polymarket at 43.5%

Expected Value

+5.75%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.30) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $5.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $690
24h Volume: $380
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $690

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 23, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 30, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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