TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 18s ago

ITF San Diego: Paola Lopez vs Paulina Montiel

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Paola Lopez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.40	71.5%	$0.72	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.34	74.5%	$0.75	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.72

Odds

1.40

Implied

71.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.75

Odds

1.34

Implied

74.5%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Paola Lopez

Best: 74.5% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

71.5%

Paulina Montiel

Best: 26.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

26.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Paola Lopez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.715

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.851 avg

+11.92% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.761

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.870

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.934 avg

+22.72% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.761

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $155

Paulina Montiel (polymarket, $263) — slippage 104.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $41

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Paola Lopezthin	kalshi	1.40	$737	$1031
Paulina Montielthin	polymarket	3.92	$263	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Paola Lopez

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 74.5% vs kalshi at 71.5%

Expected Value

+4.20%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.40) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

10.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $422
24h Volume: $422
Liquidity: $2.8K
Open Interest: $422

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 8, 2026, 7:15 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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