TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Carolina Troiano

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Nadia Podoroska

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.04	96.0%	$0.96	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.04	96.5%	$0.97	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.96

Odds

1.04

Implied

96.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.97

Odds

1.04

Implied

96.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nadia Podoroska

Best: 96.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

96.0%

96.5%

Carolina Troiano

Best: 4.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

4.0%

2.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nadia Podoroska

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.960

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.979 avg

+0.11% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.978

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.980

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.980 avg

+0.18% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.978

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Carolina Troiano (kalshi, $25) — slippage 296.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $60

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nadia Podoroskathin	polymarket	1.04	$975	$1016
Carolina Troianothin	kalshi	40.00	$25	$1016

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nadia Podoroska

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 96.5% vs polymarket at 96.0%

Expected Value

+0.52%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.04) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

12.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $215
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $70
24h Volume: $70
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $70

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 24, 2026, 10:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jul 1, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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