TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 43s ago

ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Thiago Horacio Messa

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.09	92.0%	$0.92	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.06	94.0%	$0.94	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

92.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.94

Odds

1.06

Implied

94.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Best: 94.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

92.0%

94.0%

Thiago Horacio Messa

Best: 8.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

8.0%

7.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.920

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.964 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.964

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.977 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.977

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo (polymarket, $929) — not enough depth at $929 — fillable up to $4

Thiago Horacio Messa (kalshi, $71) — slippage 845.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $18

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozothin	polymarket	1.09	$929	$1010
Thiago Horacio Messathin	kalshi	14.29	$71	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 94.0% vs polymarket at 92.0%

Expected Value

+2.17%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.09) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $1
Liquidity: $216
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $142
24h Volume: $142
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $142

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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