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ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Andres Medus

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Lorenzo Gagliardo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.11	90.0%	$0.90	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.10	90.5%	$0.91	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.90

Odds

1.11

Implied

90.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.91

Odds

1.10

Implied

90.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lorenzo Gagliardo

Best: 90.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.5%

90.0%

Andres Medus

Best: 10.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

9.5%

10.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lorenzo Gagliardo

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.900

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.960 avg

+0.31% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.957

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.975

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.960 avg

+0.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.959

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $236

Andres Medus (polymarket, $96) — not enough depth at $96 — fillable up to $23

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lorenzo Gagliardothin	kalshi	1.11	$905	$1005
Andres Medusthin	polymarket	10.53	$96	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lorenzo Gagliardo

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 90.5% vs kalshi at 90.0%

Expected Value

+0.56%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.11) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $147
24h Volume: $147
Liquidity: $1.2K
Open Interest: $127

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $5.9K
24h Volume: $2.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $5.8K

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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