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Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Santa Fe: Hina Inoue vs Kate Fakih

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000

Platform Prices — Hina Inoue

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.27	79.0%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.24	80.5%	$0.81	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

79.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.81

Odds

1.24

Implied

80.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hina Inoue

Best: 80.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.5%

79.0%

Kate Fakih

Best: 20.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.5%

20.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hina Inoue

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.790

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.885 avg

+5.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.842

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.927

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.866 avg

+1.43% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.854

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kate Fakih (polymarket, $198) — slippage 216.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hina Inouethin	kalshi	1.27	$802	$1015
Kate Fakihthin	polymarket	5.13	$198	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hina Inoue

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 80.5% vs kalshi at 79.0%

Expected Value

+1.90%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $59
24h Volume: $59
Liquidity: $890
Open Interest: $59

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $49
24h Volume: $49
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $49

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Aug 7, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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