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Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Santa Fe: Kristina Penickova vs Anastasia Kulikova

Other · July 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Kristina Penickova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.25	44.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kristina Penickova

Best: 45.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

44.5%

Anastasia Kulikova

Best: 54.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

54.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kristina Penickova

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.445

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.576 avg

+2.69% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.560

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.591

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.767 avg

+29.90% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.591

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $196

Kristina Penickova (kalshi, $452) — slippage 8.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kristina Penickovathin	kalshi	2.25	$452	$1015
Anastasia Kulikovathin	kalshi	1.85	$548	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kristina Penickova

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 45.5% vs kalshi at 44.5%

Expected Value

+2.25%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $39
24h Volume: $39
Liquidity: $15.9K
Open Interest: $31

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 29, 2026, 11:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 5, 2026, 11:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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