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Stale· updated 4m ago

ITF Sao Paulo: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0

Platform Prices — Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.28	78.0%	$0.78	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.29	77.5%	$0.78	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.78

Odds

1.28

Implied

78.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.78

Odds

1.29

Implied

77.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Best: 78.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

77.5%

Jose Pereira

Best: 25.0% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.0%

25.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.775

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.817 avg

+0.28% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.815

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.828

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.841 avg

+1.58% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.828

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Jose Pereira (polymarket, $221) — not enough depth at $221 — fillable up to $18

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezthin	kalshi	1.29	$779	$1005
Jose Pereirathin	polymarket	4.54	$221	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 78.0% vs kalshi at 77.5%

Expected Value

+0.65%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.29) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $540
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $4
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 31, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Aug 7, 2026, 2:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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