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Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Saskatoon: Kaya Moe vs Dasha Plekhanova

Other · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Kaya Moe

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	4.35	23.0%	$0.23	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.23

Odds

4.35

Implied

23.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kaya Moe

Best: 23.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.0%

23.0%

Dasha Plekhanova

Best: 78.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

77.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kaya Moe

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.220

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.277 avg

+9.93% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.252

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.282

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.560 avg

+122.02% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.252

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kaya Moe (polymarket, $222) — slippage 9.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kaya Moethin	polymarket	4.54	$222	$1010
Dasha Plekhanovathin	kalshi	1.30	$778	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kaya Moe

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 23.0% vs polymarket at 22.0%

Expected Value

+4.55%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (4.55) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $56
24h Volume: $56
Liquidity: $6.3K
Open Interest: $13

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $7
24h Volume: $7
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $7

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jul 28, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Aug 4, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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