TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 43s ago

ITF Segrate: Nicolas Parizzia vs Adrian Andreev

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Nicolas Parizzia

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.45	15.5%	$0.16	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	6.06	16.5%	$0.17	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.16

Odds

6.45

Implied

15.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.17

Odds

6.06

Implied

16.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nicolas Parizzia

Best: 16.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

16.5%

15.5%

Adrian Andreev

Best: 83.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

83.5%

83.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nicolas Parizzia

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.155

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.395 avg

+38.27% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.286

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.417

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.668 avg

+133.99% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.286

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nicolas Parizzia (kalshi, $157) — slippage 19.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $181

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nicolas Parizziathin	kalshi	6.45	$157	$1016
Adrian Andreevthin	kalshi	1.21	$843	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nicolas Parizzia

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 16.5% vs kalshi at 15.5%

Expected Value

+6.45%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.45) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $12
24h Volume: $12
Liquidity: $4.7K
Open Interest: $12

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $13
24h Volume: $13
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 31, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 7, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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