TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Matyas Fuele vs Denis Petak

Other · June 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Matyas Fuele

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.53	65.5%	$0.66	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.45	69.0%	$0.69	+3.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.66

Odds

1.53

Implied

65.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.69

Odds

1.45

Implied

69.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matyas Fuele

Best: 69.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.5%

69.0%

Denis Petak

Best: 34.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

34.5%

32.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matyas Fuele

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.655

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.806 avg

+17.24% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.688

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.830

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.852 avg

+23.90% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.688

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $410

Matyas Fuele (polymarket, $672) — slippage 2.6% — eats into edge

Denis Petak (kalshi, $328) — slippage 119.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $135

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matyas Fuelethin	polymarket	1.53	$672	$1026
Denis Petakthin	kalshi	3.13	$328	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matyas Fuele

Spread

3.5pp

kalshi at 69.0% vs polymarket at 65.5%

Expected Value

+5.34%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.53) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

10.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $2.7K
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $279
24h Volume: $279
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $279

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 2, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 9, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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