TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Store: Niccolo Baroni vs Aljaz Jeran

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Niccolo Baroni

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.48	67.5%	$0.68	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.47	68.0%	$0.68	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.68

Odds

1.48

Implied

67.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.68

Odds

1.47

Implied

68.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Niccolo Baroni

Best: 68.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.5%

68.0%

Aljaz Jeran

Best: 32.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.5%

31.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Niccolo Baroni

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.675

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.715 avg

+2.62% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.696

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.718

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.766 avg

+10.09% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.696

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $406

Aljaz Jeran (kalshi, $318) — slippage 5.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Niccolo Baronithin	polymarket	1.48	$682	$1010
Aljaz Jeranthin	kalshi	3.17	$318	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Niccolo Baroni

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 68.0% vs polymarket at 67.5%

Expected Value

+0.74%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.48) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $4
Liquidity: $3.1K
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jul 8, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jul 15, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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