TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 21s ago

ITF Store: Vaal Urankar vs Luca Wiedenmann

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Vaal Urankar

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	16.67	6.0%	$0.06	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	10.53	9.5%	$0.10	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.06

Odds

16.67

Implied

6.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.10

Odds

10.53

Implied

9.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Vaal Urankar

Best: 9.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

9.5%

6.0%

Luca Wiedenmann

Best: 94.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.5%

94.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Vaal Urankar

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.060

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.688 avg

+6.61% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.645

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.901

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.893 avg

+0.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.892

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $243

Vaal Urankar (kalshi, $62) — slippage 494.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $15

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Vaal Urankarthin	kalshi	16.67	$62	$1037
Luca Wiedenmannthin	polymarket	1.10	$938	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Vaal Urankar

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 9.5% vs kalshi at 6.0%

Expected Value

+58.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (16.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $187
24h Volume: $187
Liquidity: $607
Open Interest: $187

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $680
24h Volume: $680
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $491

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 8, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 15, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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