TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 11s ago

ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Lisa Pigato vs Danka Kovinic

Other · July 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Lisa Pigato

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.29	77.5%	$0.78	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.25	80.0%	$0.80	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.78

Odds

1.29

Implied

77.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.80

Odds

1.25

Implied

80.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lisa Pigato

Best: 80.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

77.5%

80.0%

Danka Kovinic

Best: 22.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

22.5%

20.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lisa Pigato

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.775

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.846 avg

+2.61% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.824

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.867

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.848 avg

+0.47% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.844

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $160

Lisa Pigato (polymarket, $795) — slippage 4.8% — eats into edge

Danka Kovinic (kalshi, $205) — slippage 23.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $92

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lisa Pigato	polymarket	1.29	$795	$1025
Danka Kovinicthin	kalshi	5.00	$205	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lisa Pigato

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 80.0% vs polymarket at 77.5%

Expected Value

+3.23%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.29) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.1K
24h Volume: $2.1K
Liquidity: $13.6K
Open Interest: $2.1K

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 8, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 15, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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