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Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Taipei: Haruka Kaji vs Yuno Kitahara

Other · June 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Haruka Kaji

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.26	79.5%	$0.80	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.20	83.5%	$0.84	+4.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.80

Odds

1.26

Implied

79.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.84

Odds

1.20

Implied

83.5%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Haruka Kaji

Best: 83.5% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

83.5%

79.5%

Yuno Kitahara

Best: 20.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

18.0%

20.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Haruka Kaji

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.795

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.845 avg

+2.97% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.821

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.850

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.852 avg

+3.85% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.821

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $385

Yuno Kitahara (kalshi, $185) — slippage 62.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $71

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Haruka Kajithin	polymarket	1.26	$815	$1026
Yuno Kitaharathin	kalshi	5.56	$185	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Haruka Kaji

Spread

4.0pp

kalshi at 83.5% vs polymarket at 79.5%

Expected Value

+5.03%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.26) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

19.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $397
24h Volume: $397
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $327

Resolves: in 14d 6h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $60
24h Volume: $60
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: $60

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jun 27, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 4, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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