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Live· updated 18s ago

ITF Taipei: Misaki Matsuda vs Haruka Kaji

Other · June 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000

Platform Prices — Misaki Matsuda

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.44	41.0%	$0.41	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.41	41.5%	$0.42	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.41

Odds

2.44

Implied

41.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.42

Odds

2.41

Implied

41.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Misaki Matsuda

Best: 41.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

41.0%

41.5%

Haruka Kaji

Best: 59.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.0%

58.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Misaki Matsuda

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.410

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.427 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.427

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.497 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.497

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Misaki Matsudathin	kalshi	2.44	$412	$1005
Haruka Kajithin	polymarket	1.71	$588	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Misaki Matsuda

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 41.5% vs kalshi at 41.0%

Expected Value

+1.22%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.44) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $686
24h Volume: $686
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $686

Resolves: in 14d 0h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $33
24h Volume: $33
Liquidity: $5.3K
Open Interest: $33

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jun 26, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jul 3, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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