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Live· updated 51s ago

ITF Taipei: Yuno Kitahara vs Thasaporn Naklo

Other · June 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Yuno Kitahara

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.99	33.5%	$0.34	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.78	36.0%	$0.36	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.34

Odds

2.99

Implied

33.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.36

Odds

2.78

Implied

36.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yuno Kitahara

Best: 36.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.0%

33.5%

Thasaporn Naklo

Best: 66.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

66.0%

66.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yuno Kitahara

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.335

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.372 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.372

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.448 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.448

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Yuno Kitahara (polymarket, $337) — not enough depth at $337 — fillable up to $3

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yuno Kitaharathin	polymarket	2.98	$337	$1005
Thasaporn Naklothin	kalshi	1.51	$663	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yuno Kitahara

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 36.0% vs polymarket at 33.5%

Expected Value

+7.46%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.99) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.9K
24h Volume: $1.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.8K

Resolves: in 14d 0h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $5.3K
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jun 26, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jul 3, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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