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Live· updated 20s ago

ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Sanhui Shin

Other · June 29, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Kosuke Ogura

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.45	29.0%	$0.29	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	3.28	30.5%	$0.31	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.29

Odds

3.45

Implied

29.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.31

Odds

3.28

Implied

30.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kosuke Ogura

Best: 30.5% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.5%

29.0%

Sanhui Shin

Best: 71.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

71.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kosuke Ogura

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.290

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.330 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.330

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.520 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.520

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kosuke Ogura (polymarket, $293) — not enough depth at $293 — fillable up to $10

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kosuke Ogurathin	polymarket	3.45	$293	$1010
Sanhui Shinthin	kalshi	1.43	$707	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kosuke Ogura

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 30.5% vs polymarket at 29.0%

Expected Value

+5.17%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.45) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $362
24h Volume: $352
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $361

Resolves: in 14d 1h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $16
24h Volume: $16
Liquidity: $2.4K
Open Interest: $16

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jul 7, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 14, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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