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Live· updated 46s ago

ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuhara

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Matthew Dellavedova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.12	89.0%	$0.89	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.11	90.0%	$0.90	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.89

Odds

1.12

Implied

89.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.90

Odds

1.11

Implied

90.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matthew Dellavedova

Best: 90.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.0%

89.0%

Yusuke Kusuhara

Best: 11.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

11.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matthew Dellavedova

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.890

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.911 avg

+0.16% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.910

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.913

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.911 avg

+0.05% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.910

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.00%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Yusuke Kusuhara (kalshi, $110) — slippage 42.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $6

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matthew Dellavedovathin	polymarket	1.12	$890	$1000
Yusuke Kusuharathin	kalshi	9.09	$110	$1000

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matthew Dellavedova

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 90.0% vs polymarket at 89.0%

Expected Value

+1.12%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.12) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $118
24h Volume: $90
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $118

Resolves: in 14d 6h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $216
24h Volume: $216
Liquidity: $3.3K
Open Interest: $216

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 23, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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