TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 25s ago

ITF Tokyo: Saki Tange vs Colin Sinclair

Other · June 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000

Platform Prices — Saki Tange

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	5.56	18.0%	$0.18	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.65	21.5%	$0.22	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.18

Odds

5.56

Implied

18.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.22

Odds

4.65

Implied

21.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Saki Tange

Best: 21.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

21.5%

18.0%

Colin Sinclair

Best: 82.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.5%

82.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Saki Tange

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.180

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.294 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.294

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.359 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.359

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $498

Saki Tange (kalshi, $187) — slippage 30.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $93

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Saki Tangethin	kalshi	5.56	$187	$1036
Colin Sinclairthin	polymarket	1.27	$814	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Saki Tange

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 21.5% vs kalshi at 18.0%

Expected Value

+19.44%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.56) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $1
Liquidity: $5.2K
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jun 23, 2026, 5:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jun 30, 2026, 4:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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