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ITF Tokyo: Sanhui Shin vs Kasidit Samrej

Other · July 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Sanhui Shin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Sanhui Shin

Best: 43.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.0%

43.5%

Kasidit Samrej

Best: 56.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.0%

56.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Sanhui Shin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.430

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.513 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.513

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.578 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.578

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Sanhui Shinthin	kalshi	2.33	$434	$1010
Kasidit Samrejthin	kalshi	1.79	$566	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Sanhui Shin

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 43.5% vs kalshi at 43.0%

Expected Value

+1.16%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.33) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $984
24h Volume: $984
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $972

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $4.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 11, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 18, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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