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Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Uslar: Christopher Thies vs Adrian Oetzbach

Other · July 14, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Christopher Thies

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	6.90	14.5%	$0.14	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	6.90	14.5%	$0.15	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.14

Odds

6.90

Implied

14.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.15

Odds

6.90

Implied

14.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Christopher Thies

Best: 14.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

14.5%

Adrian Oetzbach

Best: 85.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

85.5%

85.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Christopher Thies

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.145

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.442 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.442

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.700 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.700

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Christopher Thies (polymarket, $146) — not enough depth at $146 — fillable up to $450

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Christopher Thiesthin	polymarket	6.90	$146	$1005
Adrian Oetzbachthin	kalshi	1.18	$854	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Christopher Thies

Spread

0.0pp

kalshi at 14.5% vs polymarket at 14.5%

Expected Value

+0.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (6.90) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $86
24h Volume: $40
Liquidity: $3.2K
Open Interest: $86

Resolves: in 6d 12h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 12h · Jul 21, 2026, 11:59 PM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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