TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Anna Bazderova vs Valeriia Krokhotina

Other · July 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Anna Bazderova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.72	58.0%	$0.58	+5.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.58

Odds

1.72

Implied

58.0%

Edge

+5.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Anna Bazderova

Best: 58.0% on polymarket

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

58.0%

52.5%

Valeriia Krokhotina

Best: 42.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

42.0%

42.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Anna Bazderova

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.525

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.838 avg

+4.92% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.799

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.846

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.887 avg

+11.03% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.799

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.82%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Anna Bazderova (kalshi, $556) — slippage 30.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $19

Valeriia Krokhotina (polymarket, $444) — slippage 44.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $98

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Anna Bazderovathin	kalshi	1.91	$556	$1058
Valeriia Krokhotinathin	polymarket	2.38	$444	$1058

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Anna Bazderova

Spread

5.5pp

polymarket at 58.0% vs kalshi at 52.5%

Expected Value

+10.48%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.90) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $828
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Aug 4, 2026, 5:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Aug 11, 2026, 6:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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