TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 4m ago

ITF Xativa: Pavel Lagutin vs Brian Bozemoj

Other · July 29, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Pavel Lagutin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.31	76.5%	$0.77	+31.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.77

Odds

1.31

Implied

76.5%

Edge

+31.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pavel Lagutin

Best: 76.5% on kalshi

▲+31.5%

Prediction market is 31.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.0%

76.5%

Brian Bozemoj

Best: 55.0% on polymarket

▲+32.0%

Prediction market is 32.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.0%

23.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pavel Lagutin

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.450

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.819 avg

+0.51% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.815

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.840

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.849 avg

+1.09% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.840

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+47.06%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $147

Pavel Lagutin (polymarket, $662) — slippage 2.4% — eats into edge

Brian Bozemoj (kalshi, $338) — slippage 19.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $50

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pavel Lagutinthin	polymarket	2.22	$662	$1471
Brian Bozemojthin	kalshi	4.35	$338	$1470

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pavel Lagutin

Spread

31.5pp

kalshi at 76.5% vs polymarket at 45.0%

Expected Value

+70.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.22) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $51
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $56
24h Volume: $56
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $56

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Aug 5, 2026, 7:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Aug 12, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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