Economics · July 14, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 5.5% on kalshi
Best: 12.5% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 10.0% on kalshi
Best: 23.0% on kalshi
Best: 10.0% on kalshi
Best: 3.0% on kalshi
Best: 19.0% on kalshi
Best: 8.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 2.0% on kalshi
Best: 2.0% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: 0.1% or belowthin | kalshi | 18.18 | $57 | $1031 |
| Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%thin | kalshi | 8.00 | $129 | $1031 |
| Headline: -0.3% or below, Core: 0.3% or abovethin | kalshi | 100.00 | $10 | $1030 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: 0.1% or belowthin | kalshi | 10.00 | $103 | $1031 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%thin | kalshi | 4.35 | $237 | $1031 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.2%, Core: 0.3% or abovethin | kalshi | 10.00 | $103 | $1031 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.1%, Core: 0.1% or belowthin | kalshi | 33.33 | $31 | $1030 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%thin | kalshi | 5.26 | $196 | $1031 |
| Headline: Exactly -0.1%, Core: 0.3% or abovethin | kalshi | 12.50 | $83 | $1031 |
| Headline: 0.0% or above, Core: 0.1% or belowthin | kalshi | 100.00 | $10 | $1030 |
| Headline: 0.0% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%thin | kalshi | 50.00 | $21 | $1030 |
| Headline: 0.0% or above, Core: 0.3% or abovethin | kalshi | 50.00 | $21 | $1030 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.