BaseballUPCOMING

Live· updated 12s ago

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

MLB · June 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Kansas City Royals

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kansas City Royals

Best: 46.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

44.5%

Washington Nationals

Best: 55.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

55.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kansas City Royals

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.445

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.526 avg

+4.09% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.505

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.546

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.641 avg

+1.89% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.629

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kansas City Royals (kalshi, $454) — slippage 15.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $16

Washington Nationals (polymarket, $546) — slippage 3.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kansas City Royalsthin	kalshi	2.25	$454	$1020
Washington Nationalsthin	polymarket	1.87	$546	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kansas City Royals

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 46.5% vs kalshi at 44.5%

Expected Value

+4.49%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $74
24h Volume: $65
Liquidity: $20.2K
Open Interest: $101

Resolves: in 8d 13h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $132
24h Volume: $135
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $111

Resolves: in 5d 8h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 5d 8h · Jun 20, 2026, 5:05 PM
polymarketin 8d 13h · Jun 23, 2026, 10:45 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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