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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Alan Rubio

Other · July 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Soon-Woo Kwon

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.10	91.0%	$0.91	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.09	91.5%	$0.92	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.91

Odds

1.10

Implied

91.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

91.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Soon-Woo Kwon

Best: 91.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

91.5%

91.0%

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Best: 9.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

8.5%

9.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Soon-Woo Kwon

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.910

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.922 avg

+0.20% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.920

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.931

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.928 avg

+0.01% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.928

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros (polymarket, $85) — slippage 91.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $171

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Soon-Woo Kwonthin	kalshi	1.10	$915	$1005
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierrosthin	polymarket	11.77	$85	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Soon-Woo Kwon

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 91.5% vs kalshi at 91.0%

Expected Value

+0.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.10) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.4K
24h Volume: $1.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.3K

Resolves: in 14d 13h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 14h · Aug 2, 2026, 2:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 13h · Aug 9, 2026, 2:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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