TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 59s ago

Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan

Other · June 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Fabian Marozsan

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.83	54.5%	$0.55	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.79	56.0%	$0.56	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.55

Odds

1.83

Implied

54.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.56

Odds

1.79

Implied

56.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Fabian Marozsan

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

56.0%

Alex Molcan

Best: 45.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

45.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Fabian Marozsan

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.545

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.569 avg

+0.01% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.569

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.569

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.607 avg

+4.53% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.581

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $415

Fabian Marozsan (polymarket, $548) — slippage 3.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Fabian Marozsanthin	polymarket	1.83	$548	$1005
Alex Molcanthin	kalshi	2.22	$452	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Fabian Marozsan

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 56.0% vs polymarket at 54.5%

Expected Value

+2.75%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.83) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: $18
Liquidity: $45.1K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.1K
24h Volume: $2.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.6K

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jun 29, 2026, 11:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jul 6, 2026, 11:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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