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Live· updated 1m ago

Metro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey

Metro Bank One Day Cup · July 29, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Warwickshire

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.53	39.5%	$0.40	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	+7.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.40

Odds

2.53

Implied

39.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

+7.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Warwickshire

Best: 46.5% on polymarket

▲+7.0%

Prediction market is 7.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

39.5%

Surrey

Best: 53.5% on polymarket

▲+7.5%

Prediction market is 7.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

46.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Warwickshire

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.395

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.871 avg

+1.31% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.859

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.882

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.915 avg

+3.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.882

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+16.96%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Warwickshire (kalshi, $462) — slippage 74.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $2

Surrey (kalshi, $538) — slippage 27.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $79

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Warwickshirethin	kalshi	2.53	$462	$1170
Surreythin	kalshi	2.17	$538	$1170

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Warwickshire

Spread

7.0pp

polymarket at 46.5% vs kalshi at 39.5%

Expected Value

+17.72%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.53) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.4K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 5h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 3d 17h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 3d 17h · Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM
polymarketin 8d 5h · Aug 5, 2026, 6:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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