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Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · June 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Minnesota Twins

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.04	49.0%	$0.49	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.49

Odds

2.04

Implied

49.0%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Minnesota Twins

Best: 49.0% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.0%

46.0%

Houston Astros

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

56.0%

Draw

Best: 42.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

42.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Minnesota Twins

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.460

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.546 avg

+18.63% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.460

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.974

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.480 avg

+4.30% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.460

polymarket

Cross-Platform Edge — Minnesota Twins

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 49.0% vs kalshi at 46.0%

Expected Value

+6.52%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.17) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $313
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 0h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $9.9K
24h Volume: $9.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $8.0K

Resolves: in 4d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 0h · Jun 30, 2026, 12:10 AM
kalshiin 4d 0h · Jul 3, 2026, 12:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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