TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 4m ago

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Aleksandar Vukic

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.63	61.5%	$0.62	+15.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.62

Odds

1.63

Implied

61.5%

Edge

+15.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Aleksandar Vukic

Best: 61.5% on polymarket

▲+15.5%

Prediction market is 15.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

46.0%

Zachary Svajda

Best: 38.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.5%

38.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Aleksandar Vukic

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.460

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.666 avg

+0.97% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.660

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.673

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.729 avg

+6.49% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.684

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+19.05%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Zachary Svajda (kalshi, $452) — slippage 63.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $28

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Aleksandar Vukicthin	kalshi	2.17	$548	$1190
Zachary Svajdathin	kalshi	2.63	$452	$1191

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Aleksandar Vukic

Spread

15.5pp

polymarket at 61.5% vs kalshi at 46.0%

Expected Value

+33.70%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.17) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.3K
24h Volume: $1.3K
Liquidity: $9.0K
Open Interest: $404

Resolves: in 7d 13h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $429
24h Volume: $29
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $429

Resolves: in 14d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 13h · Aug 3, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 14h · Aug 10, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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